The $100B Refund Most Investors Ignore
Washington is refunding more in tariffs than it collects. Gold is a quiet beneficiary.
Category: Economy
SMCI’s Margin Doubled. That’s the Number That Matters.
A revenue miss still sent SMCI up about 10%. Gross margin rising to about 17% is rewriting the investment case.
When the VIX Rises With Stocks, Pay Attention
The options market is flashing a signal it almost never sends. Here is what it means for bargain hunters right now.
Rivian’s R2 Is in Driveways. Q4 Is Where the Math Gets Real.
A 45% bill-of-materials cut, record demo drives, and a second production shift arriving this October are converging on the most consequential quarter in RIVN’s history.
Five Gauges That Say the AI Rally Has Legs
The debate is not bull vs. bear. It is which numbers to watch, and right now, most of them are flashing green.
APP Lost $40B in Value on a $16M Miss
The FCF drop is a tax timing story. The e-commerce ramp is the real verdict.
AMD Is Up 121% This Year. A Beat Tonight Won’t Be Enough.
The Q2 number is almost beside the point. The H2 ramp is what decides everything.
SPCX Is Down 52% From Its High. August 6 Is the Supply Shock.
Short interest at 34% of float, 911.5 million shares unlocking after earnings. The bears are not betting against the business.
COF’s AML Defense Just Changed the Legal Map
Capital One disclosed an AML review to justify closing Trump accounts. The options market has a harder question to answer now.
The Volatility Is in Oil, Not Stocks
The OVX is running at triple the VIX. That gap is where the real options signal lives right now.